Gta Online Is The Casino Money Guide

GTA Online Horse Betting Guide With Statistical Analysis – 101 Betting Rounds Analysed and Conclusions. How To Increase Your Chances of Winning on Horse Betting In GTA Online.

Intro

I played and recorded the results of 101 rounds of horse betting in Inside Tracks (I wanted to do only 100, so percentages would looked nicer, but I accidentally started another one so I included that one too for extra data.)
All rounds were Single Events.
I took breaks every 15-20 Races.
No strategy was used during the recording of this data.
I selected Horse 1 each time, and went for Max Bet ($10,000).
I skipped races where Horse 1 had Even Odds.
I also placed bets on horses which I knew will not win to eliminate personal bias in statistics.

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Data

The Table on the left holds the Odds Number (X/1) of each Horse (H 1-2-3-4-5-6) in each round. Yellow colored cell means it won.

The Table on the right is the winner of each race, Name of the Horse, the odds of the Horse, and which number it had during the race (1-6).

In between the 2 tables I marked when I decided to take a break from betting. It was done to see if leaving the betting for a few minutes affects the result of the following rounds or not.

Lucky Horses

This is a sum of how many times each horse has won. It is clear that there are specific horses which win more than others (other than it’s odds).

It has to be noted though that it is RNG (Random Number Generated with an added algorithm that weighs in the odds number) meaning the winners are randomized, there is no way to tell exactly which horse is going to win.

However specific horses do indeed win more than others. I observed this even outside of this experiment when I’m just playing for fun.

The Luckiest and Most Profitable Horses To Bet On (Odds / Wins / Winnings):

Group 1 (Lower Winnings Per Race – Very Likely To Win)

Lonely Stepbrother (3/1 – 5 Wins – $200,000)
Crackers And Please (3/1 – 4 Wins – $160,000)
Dancin Shoes (5/1 – 4 Wins – $240,000)
Omens And Ice (3/1 – 4 Wins – $160,000)
Bouncy Blessed (5/1 – 3 Wins – $180,000)
Creepy Dentist (7/1 – 3 Wins – $240,000)
Dexie Runner (6/1 – 3 Wins – $210,000)
Dr Deez Reins (5/1 – 3 Wins – $180,000)
Los Santos Savior (5/1 – 3 Wins – $180,000)

Group 2 (Medium Winnings Per Race – Not Likely To Win)

Sizzurp (13/1 – 2 Wins – $280,000)
Ghost Dank (10/1 – 2 Wins – $220,000)
Tenpenny (10/1 – 2 Wins – $220,000)

Group 3 (Very High Winnings – Extremely Unlikely To Win)

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Bad Egg (29/1 – 1 Wins – $300,000)
Sir Scrambled (26/1 – 1 Wins – $270,000)
Glass or Tina (23/1 – 1 Wins – $240,000)
Miss Mary John (22/1 – 1 Wins – $230,000)

Odds

The table below shows all the available odds and how likely they are to win. 2/1, 3/1, and 5/1 are the most likely to win.

It’s more profitable to play 5/1 and 3/1, however you are more likely to win playing 2/1.

An Interesting Observation:

Taking a look on odds 8/1 and up, 10/1 and 13/1 had noticeably higher win rates. It’s also strange that 8/1 and up there were rarely any odds number where there were 2 or more winners besides these. 10/1 had 5 wins, and out of those, 4 was won by 2 Horses, Tenpenny and Ghost Dank, both won 2 times each. 13/1 had 3 wins and Sizzurp won 2 of those.

Horse Numbers

Horse 1 and Horse 2 is the most likely to win. Picking Horse 1 means more wins overall, but not that much, so either can be chosen.

I recommend not alternating between horses, but rather sticking with either Horse 1 or Horse 2. The reason is because any time you chose another, the other one has almost just as much possibility of winning, and you may pick the wrong one round after round. However if you pick one from the 2 and stay with it, it will win eventually.

Conclusions

Conclusions drawn from the data recorded:

You are more likely to win with odds 2/1 (22.8%), 3/1 (17.8%), and 5/1 (15.8%).
Playing 5/1 is more profitable, followed by 3/1, and 2/1.
You are more likely to win picking Horse Number 1 (34.7%), 2 (31.7%), and 3 (15.8%).
There are horses which most likely perform better than the rest. However some can be a result of random occurrence. You can use the Lucky Horse list to increase your chances.
If 3 or more horses appear in the next round from the last one, the winner of the last round will most likely win.
(Personal Opinion) Taking a break of a few minutes from the betting affects the winning pattern of the next rounds. I took a longer break at Round 40, an almost half hour break, and after coming back my Win/Lose ratio dropped significantly. But just before that, Round 21 to 39 my Win/Lose Ratio was very high.
Bonus (off data) Interesting Observation: If your Horse gains a huge lead at the start and it falls back just before reaching the middle off the track, your horse will most likely gain a huge lead suddenly in the second half of the race and win.

Strategy:

The most efficient way to play is always picking either Horse 1 or Horse 2. Alternating between them can be a good strategy too by picking the luckier horse, however there’s always a chance of picking the wrong one, so staying with only one horse might be a better idea because it will win eventually.

Even though 2/1 wins more than 3/1 and 5/1, it brings in less money overall. The most profitable odd to play is 5/1, followed by 3/1, and then 2/1.

Use the Lucky Horse list, or memorize the names of the horses which win more frequently and pick them over others.

To sum it up in short:

Go with Horse Number 1 with 5/1 or 3/1 odds, and pick horses which are known to win more. If you get a bad horse, just close the betting screen and then reenter it (you don’t have to stand up). However if you do this frequently the game will kick you from the betting table for around 1-2 minutes, so make sure you wait 5-10 seconds between quitting and reentering the betting screen.

I have to note that I can’t guarantee that by following this strategy you will absolutely profit, because the winners are randomized after all, however these are my statistics and observations. In my case it works, and I made 1.1 Million chips in less than 2 days doing this.

If you are on a losing streak (lost 5 times in a row or more), then take a break, walk around, play a Diamond Miner, or a Three Card Poker, or just do something in real life. It’s not worth getting frustrated over a game.

Also, DO NOT put all your money on bettings! I repeat DO NOT put all your money buying chips so you can bet all of it on Horse Racing! This is important!

You want to have spare money you can afford to lose (around $200,000-$300,000 is good) and have at least one or two businesses (Preferably Bunker, Nightclub, or MC, so it works in the background while you do the betting)! The reason is because if you don’t have a lot of money and you convert all of it to chips then you might go broke if you have a bad streak, and it’s also safer and more profitable to do this alongside with other sources of income!

Good Luck Betting!

First Board - Scoping Out

Starting Costs
The first time to do the heist, it will be free of charge. Every other time you want to complete the heist, it'll cost you 25.000$.
Scoping Out the Casino

To unlock all different options, take a photo and send it to Lester. If you take a picture of an A.P (Access Point) or an P.O.I (Point of Interest), the option to send it to Lester will appear.
Access Points

These points are seen in the Casino Model (if bought). The first board will be kept once the heist is completed.
Front

Back

Points of Interest

Casino Scope:

Guards
Indoor-Cams
Outdoor-Cams
Keypads
Valet

Vault Scope:

Security Room
Lobby
Staff Elevator
Metal Detector
Elevator (Out of order)

Possible Targets

Extras

All extras are kept once bought.

Casino Model (130.000$)
Door Security (425.000$)
Vault Door (900.000$)

(Take a photo of the blueprints inside the office of the casino).

Second Board - Prep Work

Crew Choices

Gunman:

Karl Abolaji
Skill: Poor; Cut: 5%
Weapons:
Charlie Reed
Skill: Good, Cut: 7%
Weapons: SMGs and Shotguns
Gustave Mota
Skill: Expert; Cut: 9%
Weapons:
Chester Mocoy
Skill: Expert; Cut: 10%
Weapons:
Driver:

Karim Denz
Skill: Poor; Cut: 5%
Cars:
Zach Nelson
Skill: Good, Cut: 6%
Cars:
Talina Martinez
Skill: Good; Cut: 7%
Cars: Retinue MK2, Drift Yosemite, Sugoi, Jugular
Eddie Toh
Skill: Expert; Cut: 9%
Cars:
Chester Mocoy
Skill: Expert; Cut: 10%
Hacker:

Rickie Lukens:
Skill: Poor; Cut: 3%
Yohan Blair
Skill: Good; Cut: 5%
Christian Feltz
Skill: Good; Cut: 7%
Paige Harris
Skill: Expert; Cut: 9%

General Prep Works

Hacking Device

Get a FIB-pass from a corrupt agent, enter the FIB building and...

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Vault Keycards

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Patrol Routes

Go to a meeting of the Duggan security guys, eliminate them and search for the right car. Once found, open the trunk, take a photo of the documents and send them to Lester.
Duggan Shipments

Like a freeroam job. You have to destroy 10 shipments of these shipments, spread all over the map. Best use a helicopter for that.
Security Intel

Help poor Vincent, who is now a mall security guy. The Intel will be done in every heist when completed once.
Power Drills

Go to a construction site that is marked and collect either a vehicle with the drills or the drills alone. One person can carry two drills. A disguise is sometimes available.
Security Pass

Level 1: Acquired from a cleaning woman.
Level 2: Acquired from a croupier.

We had to crash a drug-party and find the croupier to search him for his pass.

Specific Prep - Silent & Sneaky

Nano Drone
You have to drive round the city and shoot down drones used by the LSPD. Then just collect the dropped parts.
Vault Laser
Go out to the desert, fight some (OP) Army guys and search for the lasers. They look like this:
EMP Device

Go to LSIA and steal a cargobob. Then fly to the university, lift the EMP out (it is right on the open filed) and fly it to the substation of LS Water and Power right across the casino.

Infilitration Suits

Go out to Human Labs and kill the guards in your way (the alarm will trigger as soon as you enter) Bags are in the rear (where you have to par the Insurgent in the Human Labs Heist). Bags look like this:

Specific Prep - The Big Con

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Specific Prep - Aggressive

Thermal Charges

Acquire Thermal Charges to blow up vault door. We had to go out to Sandy Shores and crash a Hillbilly party.
Vault Explosives

We had to go out to Paleto Bay and recover the explosive from a sunken airplane, guarded by Merryweather. Grab scuba gear and dive out to find it.
Reinforced Armor
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Boring Machine
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Third Board - Heist

Your personal weapon arsenal can be collected in either Laundry or Waste Disposal

Silent and Sneaky

Take out the electric stuff with your stun gun
Kill the guards right away, DO NOT STUN THEM! Guards with a helmet can't be killed right away. You can kill them with your knife.
Our way through:

We went in through waste disposal, disabling the first metal detector, in the area behint it.
After that we opened up the guard rooms and killed the guards.
In the elevator bay, there is a button in the middle of the security room, right by the window, that opens the door of a small vault. There is the daily income in there, that you can steal. Press the button, let one guy go in, close the door and wait until he has emptied the vault. The vault can be opened from the inside.

We waited for the elevator guard to pass and opened up the stairs access.

The Big Con

Our settings where:

Entrance: Security Tunnel
Entry Disguise: Gruppe Sechs

Exit: Waste Disposal
Exit Disguise: Firefighters

Buyer: High Level (is further away, but you get more money)
First: Get into the Gruppe Sechs van and drive to the casino, to the security tunnel. You are being let in and have to drive down the tunnel, where your credentials are being checked and you are able to park the van.
Then, go down to the vault area, proceed through the manhole. To go through, you have to swipe two keycards at the (roughly) same time (time-window is roughly 4 seconds) and then just go down the winding tunnel.

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Then you have a short cutscene, one knocks out the guard who opens the door and then you have to start heisting.

Aggressive

W.I.P.
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